đ Share this article Day-to-Day Murders in Mexico Decline 37% During the Sheinbaum Administration, As per Government Figures The average figure of everyday killings each month in Mexico has dropped by more than a third since President Claudia Sheinbaum took office, according to recent government figures. But, security specialists have warned that homicide figures might not signal improved countrywide security. Marked Drop in Daily Averages Officials reported an mean of close to 55 murders a day in last November as opposed to nearly 87 when Claudia Sheinbaum took the presidential office in September of last year. This data was delivered by the chief of the countryâs national public security system, Marcela Figueroa Franco, during the leader's regular news conference on Tuesday. âThe figures in murders that have been recorded over these months is very important,â Claudia Sheinbaum stated, adding that in November the smallest amount of murders were documented for any single November in the past 10 years. Historical Background and Official Strategy Fierce organized crime internal conflicts, alongside the administration's highly militarised campaigns to combat the cartels, have led to Mexicoâs homicide numbers soar in the past few years. The figure reached a peak of 36,773 killings in 2020, according to the countryâs official data office. That gave Mexico a homicide figure more than four times higher than the US. From that point, homicides have been on the downward trend, falling to 33,550 last year. Sheinbaum has linked her national security plan for an ostensibly steeper decline in killings in the current year. At a media briefing in the summer, the head of state stated: âWe have a strategy, we have oversight of the plan, and there is specific monitoring municipality by municipality in certain cases. The plan functions. And we have to keep working at it each day.â The central components of Sheinbaumâs security strategy encompass: Strengthening Mexicoâs federal guard. Advancing information gathering and investigation efforts. Increased coordination between government agencies. Analyst Skepticism and Statistical Limitations However, security experts urged caution that relying on homicide statistics to draw a conclusion of pacification was misleading. This is notably true given the rise in different criminal activities such as people going missing. âIt would be positive information if this were a drop, but I think we canât just look at the murder numbers and say: âAlright, excellent,ââ said Cecilia FarfĂĄn-MĂ©ndez, an authority on Mexican cartels. âI would be cautiously hopeful.â Per the public policy analysis organization Mexico EvalĂșa, homicides in total dropped by more than 20% in the first 10 months of the current year compared with the same period last year. However, missing persons cases have gone up by 15% and in certain states have increased by as much as 200%. âNumbers on murders is no longer useful for estimating the reality of public insecurity,â stated Armando Vargas, a safety analyst at Mexico EvalĂșa. âFirst, we have law enforcement and prosecutors who do not have the capacity or the desire to accurately recognize and categorize bodies. Secondly, organized [criminals] ⊠have the capability to mask violent acts through disappearances.â Vargas pointed out that relying on month-to-month averages of everyday homicides was similarly concerning because it might obscure periods when there were particularly elevated numbers of killings. âEmploying the daily mean makes spikes of violent crime invisible,â he said. Detentions and Seizures as Metrics of Progress Where the government can point to the success of its safety strategy is on arrests and seizures. Nearly 40,000 suspects were arrested between last October and November 2025 for serious offenses, per official figures. Over 20,000 weapons were confiscated and 311 tonnes of drugs seized. âTrump cannot claim President Sheinbaum of inaction, because the reality is she is accomplishing a lot with these thousands of detentions, thousands of seizures, and all the tactical degrading of criminal groups. Itâs highly politically profitable,â said Vargas. Ongoing Violence and Public Anger But in spite of these actions, Mexico continues to be grappling with extreme bloodshed, with a number of states in the grip of cartel-fueled bloodshed. Last month there was a notable assassination of a popular mayor in the state of Michoacan, one of 10 mayors killed in the last year. Weeks later, many thousands of youth demonstrated in Mexico City and across the nation to show their frustration at graft and narco-violence. âThe administration frames [data] in a way to construct a picture of security. From a political standpoint itâs very effective, from a social perspective itâs extremely debatable,â the analyst said.
The average figure of everyday killings each month in Mexico has dropped by more than a third since President Claudia Sheinbaum took office, according to recent government figures. But, security specialists have warned that homicide figures might not signal improved countrywide security. Marked Drop in Daily Averages Officials reported an mean of close to 55 murders a day in last November as opposed to nearly 87 when Claudia Sheinbaum took the presidential office in September of last year. This data was delivered by the chief of the countryâs national public security system, Marcela Figueroa Franco, during the leader's regular news conference on Tuesday. âThe figures in murders that have been recorded over these months is very important,â Claudia Sheinbaum stated, adding that in November the smallest amount of murders were documented for any single November in the past 10 years. Historical Background and Official Strategy Fierce organized crime internal conflicts, alongside the administration's highly militarised campaigns to combat the cartels, have led to Mexicoâs homicide numbers soar in the past few years. The figure reached a peak of 36,773 killings in 2020, according to the countryâs official data office. That gave Mexico a homicide figure more than four times higher than the US. From that point, homicides have been on the downward trend, falling to 33,550 last year. Sheinbaum has linked her national security plan for an ostensibly steeper decline in killings in the current year. At a media briefing in the summer, the head of state stated: âWe have a strategy, we have oversight of the plan, and there is specific monitoring municipality by municipality in certain cases. The plan functions. And we have to keep working at it each day.â The central components of Sheinbaumâs security strategy encompass: Strengthening Mexicoâs federal guard. Advancing information gathering and investigation efforts. Increased coordination between government agencies. Analyst Skepticism and Statistical Limitations However, security experts urged caution that relying on homicide statistics to draw a conclusion of pacification was misleading. This is notably true given the rise in different criminal activities such as people going missing. âIt would be positive information if this were a drop, but I think we canât just look at the murder numbers and say: âAlright, excellent,ââ said Cecilia FarfĂĄn-MĂ©ndez, an authority on Mexican cartels. âI would be cautiously hopeful.â Per the public policy analysis organization Mexico EvalĂșa, homicides in total dropped by more than 20% in the first 10 months of the current year compared with the same period last year. However, missing persons cases have gone up by 15% and in certain states have increased by as much as 200%. âNumbers on murders is no longer useful for estimating the reality of public insecurity,â stated Armando Vargas, a safety analyst at Mexico EvalĂșa. âFirst, we have law enforcement and prosecutors who do not have the capacity or the desire to accurately recognize and categorize bodies. Secondly, organized [criminals] ⊠have the capability to mask violent acts through disappearances.â Vargas pointed out that relying on month-to-month averages of everyday homicides was similarly concerning because it might obscure periods when there were particularly elevated numbers of killings. âEmploying the daily mean makes spikes of violent crime invisible,â he said. Detentions and Seizures as Metrics of Progress Where the government can point to the success of its safety strategy is on arrests and seizures. Nearly 40,000 suspects were arrested between last October and November 2025 for serious offenses, per official figures. Over 20,000 weapons were confiscated and 311 tonnes of drugs seized. âTrump cannot claim President Sheinbaum of inaction, because the reality is she is accomplishing a lot with these thousands of detentions, thousands of seizures, and all the tactical degrading of criminal groups. Itâs highly politically profitable,â said Vargas. Ongoing Violence and Public Anger But in spite of these actions, Mexico continues to be grappling with extreme bloodshed, with a number of states in the grip of cartel-fueled bloodshed. Last month there was a notable assassination of a popular mayor in the state of Michoacan, one of 10 mayors killed in the last year. Weeks later, many thousands of youth demonstrated in Mexico City and across the nation to show their frustration at graft and narco-violence. âThe administration frames [data] in a way to construct a picture of security. From a political standpoint itâs very effective, from a social perspective itâs extremely debatable,â the analyst said.